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Yes, you really can bet on the outcome of Jon Jones' CSAC hearing


Think you know how Jon Jones will fare against the California State Athletic Commission? Care to wager on it?

Because apparently there’s nothing that degenerate gambers won’t bet, online sportsbook BetDSI has prop lines on Jones’ fate at a hearing scheduled for Feb. 27 in Anaheim, Calif.

Jones (22-1 MMA, 16-1 UFC), 30, faces a fine and suspension from the CSAC, which temporarily suspended him and overturned his knockout win over Daniel Cormier (20-1 MMA, 9-1 UFC) after a pre-UFC 214 drug test revealed the presence of turabinol, a banned steroid.

There’s six scenarios BetDSI sees for Jones, according to current lines:

  • Eight months to one-year suspension +275
  • Thirteen months to three-year suspension +325
  • Four-year suspension +1,000
  • Six-month suspension +1,150
  • Any other suspension length +5,000
  • No suspension +10,000

Risk junkies, get a load of those no-suspension odds.

Now, if you’ve been following Jones’ second anti-doping violation, there are a few issues with these possible punishments. For one, it’s highly, highly unlikely the CSAC would hand down a four-year term. The California legislature passed a law that allows for longer suspensions, but the CSAC also previously suffered a setback in court when a three-year suspension for ex-Bellator champ Alexander Shlemenko was reduced to one year.

Typically, the commission has handed down suspensions between nine months and one year with a $2,500 fine for a first-time offender, though historically, sentences have been all over the place. Boxer and onetime UFC fighter James Toney got a one-year term reduced to six months despite calling a commissioner a (expletive)sucker, while Hermes Franca wrote an apology letter and took responsibility for a failed test at UFC 73 and still got one year.

In other words, you never know what you’re going to get. Precedent often goes out the window when a group of part-time regulators, many of whom don’t really follow MMA, get the ultimate decision on a fighter’s suspension. But high-profile fighters with legal representation seem to have a better shot at leniency.

But, of course, maybe we’re taking this whole thing a little too seriously. We assume BetDSI has done all of its anti-doping homework and knows exactly what’s at stake for Jones, or at least it’s closely read stories about what could go down.

We also assume the online sportsbook isn’t conflating the CSAC and USADA, which has a separate case against Jones and does have the option to suspend Jones four years for his second anti-doping offense under the UFC’s anti-doping program.

In short, these betting lines are very, very serious, and you should definitely throw some of your hard-earned cash if you think you know what’s going to happen when Jones goes before the commission next week.

For complete coverage of UFC 214, check out the UFC Events section of the site.

The Blue Corner is MMAjunkie‘s official blog and is edited by Mike Bohn.

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